POLLUTION DEATHS FROM FOSSIL FUEL-BASED POWER PLANTS
1.
Global death toll from the pollution from fossil fuel
burning-based electricity generation. It is estimated that
0.3 million people die annually world-wide from
societally-imposed, fossil fuel-based electricity generation
pollutants (carbon monoxide, sulphur dioxide, nitrogen oxides,
particulates, volatile organics and heavy metals, notably
mercury) and 170,000 people die annually world-wide from coal
burning-based electricity generation (see:
http://green-blog.org/2008/06/14/pollutants-from-coal-based-electricity-generation-kill-170000-people-annually/
)
2. Canadian estimate of coal-based power pollution
deaths. An Ontario, Canada, Ministry of Energy study
found that the “true cost” (in cents/kWh) of coal
burning-based electricity (taking the environmental and human
cost into account) could be 4-5 times the “actual market price”
and that pollution from coal plants producing 27 TWh/year
(20% of supply) kills 668 people per year in Ontario (population
12.2 million) (see: http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8836).
3. Australian fossil fuel-based power pollution deaths.
The data in #2 suggest that coal plants producing 77% of
Australia's annual 255 TWh of electricity from 51 GW capacity
(i.e. 0.77 x 255 = 196.4 TWh/year; see:
http://www.uic.com.au/nip37.htm
) might kill about 196.4 TWh x 668/27 TWh = 4,859 people
annually in Australia (population 21 million); in Australia 255
bn kWh x $0.04/kWh = $10.2 bn; 0.77 (coal-based) x $10.2 bn =
$7.85 billion; $7.85 bn /4,859 deaths means that Australian
electricity consumers pay for electricity @ $1.6 million per
fellow Australian killed by coal.
4. International
comparisons of fossil fuel-based power pollution deaths.
“Annual coal-based electricity deaths” [“total annual
fossil fuel-based electricity deaths”] are 170,000 [283,000]
(the World), 11,000 [13,000] (India), 47,000 [47,500] (China),
49,000 [72,000] (the US), 3,400 [6,900] (the UK), 4,900 [5,400]
(Australia) and 2,700 [3,800](Canada) as compared to 110 [360]
(heavily renewable-based New Zealand) (see:
http://green-blog.org/2008/06/14/pollutants-from-coal-based-electricity-generation-kill-170000-people-annually/
; http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8836
).
5. Australian fossil fuel-based road deaths and power
plant pollution deaths.
i. The ANNUAL Victoria
(Australia) death toll on roads in 2007 = 332 i.e. about 330
(see: http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/02/20/2167718.htm
).
ii. The ANNUAL Australian death toll on roads in 2007 =
1,016 i.e. about 1,000 (see:
http://www.caradvice.com.au/9032/2007-australian-road-toll/
).
iii. The ANNUAL Australian death toll from coal-based
electricity pollutants = 4,859 = about 4,900 (see:
http://climatefactsheets.blogspot.com/2008/06/global-warming-dangers-solutions-for.html
).
iv. The ANNUAL Australian death toll from fossil fuel-based
electricity pollutants = about 5,400 (see:
http://climatefactsheets.blogspot.com/2008/06/global-warming-dangers-solutions-for.html
).
v. The ANNUAL Victorian death toll from brown coal
pollutants (Victorian brown coal-based electricity is 21.9% of
Australia’s electricity generation:
http://climatefactsheets.blogspot.com/2008/06/coal-is-king-australia-co2-pollution.html
) = 0.219 x 4,859 = 1,064 = about 1,000.
vi. The ANNUAL
Victorian death toll from fossil fuel burning (road deaths plus
electricity) = 332 + 1,064 = 1,396 = about 1,400.
vii. The
ANNUAL Australian death toll from fossil fuel burning (road
deaths plus electricity) = 1,016 + 5,400 = 6,416 = about
6,400.
6. Human cost of pollution from of a new 400 MW
brown coal power plant. The State of Victoria and Federal
Australian Governments are giving a $150 million subsidy
for a $750 million 400 MW coal-based electricity power plant
planned to produce 30% less carbon dioxide (CO2)
pollution. The actual “capacity factor” means that
Australia’s 51 GW electricity capacity generates 255 TWh/year -
this means that the 400 MW station would actually generate about
2 TWh/year. The ANNUAL Victorian (Australian) deaths from the
“new 400 MW plant” pollutants = 2 TWh/year x 668 persons/27
TWh/year = 49.5 = about 50 Victorians (Australians).
7.
Estimated annual $ cost of fossil fuel burning
pollution-based deaths. The Ontario Ministry of Energy study
estimated $4.2 million CAD per life and cited a range of values
from $2.6 - $13.3 million CAD per life (the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency) and $5 million CAD per life (Europe's ExternE
study) (see: http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8836).
Using $5 million per life, the ANNUAL cost of deaths due to
fossil fuel-burning-based electricity generation = 1,064 persons
x $5 million per person = $5,320 million (Victoria) and 5,400
persons x $5 million/person = $27,000 million (for Australia).
8.
Annual $ cost of pollution deaths from a new 400 MW coal-based
power plant. Taking the European valuation of $5 million per
person (see: http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8836),
the ANNUAL cost due to deaths of Victorians (Australians) of a
new 400 MW coal-based power plant = 50 persons x $5
million/person = $250 million ANNUALLY.
9. HOWEVER,
morbidity (illness) costs can be 6 times mortality costs. The
Ontario Ministry of Energy study estimated that the costs from
long-term exposure were more than six times those from premature
deaths (avoidable deaths, excess deaths) (see:
http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8836).
10.
THE BIG PICTURE – over 6 billion global warming deaths this
century. Top UK climate scientist Professor James Lovelock
FRS (the Gaia Hypothesis) has estimated that over 6 billion
people will perish this century due to inadequately addressed
global warming from greenhouse gas pollution (see:
http://www.businessandmedia.org/printer/2007/20071022221333.aspx
and
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/16956300/the_prophet_of_climate_change_james_lovelock
) .
CONTACT: Yarra Valley Climate Action Group
(YVCAG): mawj@bigpond.com
; Climate Emergency Network (CEN):
http://www.climateemergencynetwork.org/
.